Whether it's first-round Tage Thompson Women Jersey studs or mid-round sleepers, every fantasy football has a list of their favorite targets on their 2023 draft cheat sheet. Similarly, many owners also have a "Do Not Draft" list full of potential busts we plan to avoid, either because that player is too high in the rankings or simply a bad value in relation to his average draft position (ADP).Of course, sometimes we're much le s analytical, opting to trust our gut and fill our DND lists with players we simply "don't like" -- guys we think will bust no matter where they're drafted. Either way, overrated players are hazards at all points in a draft.Using half-point PPR as our standard scoring format to split the difference between and full-point PPR and non-PPR leagues, here are players to avoid based on where they're currently ranked and being selected according to early . If these players happen to fall further than expected during your draft, then take your shot, but in terms of how high they're going now, consider this a warning.DOMINATE YOUR DRAFT: Justin Fields, Bears (Ranking: 56 | ADP: 47)Fields finished as QB5 last season on the strength of prolific rushing (1,143 yards) and is expected to improve as a downfield pa ser with D.J. Moore as his top wide receiver. However, he's just going a little too early in the fourth round when there's good value around him in the next tier (Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert, Trevor Lawrence). Fields can only disappoint if hyped too high.Deshaun Watson, Browns (Ranking: 84 | ADP: 81)The hope is that Watson will show his younger Texans Conor Sheary Women Jersey form again with a decent array of receiving weapons and his running playing off Nick Chubb. However, there's no certainty he'll go back to being that all-around QB, and he kicks off a deep third tier of QBs who can put up similar fantasy points despite lower ADPs.Dak Prescott, Cowboys (Ranking: 90 | ADP: 77)Right behind Watson as a bottom-half QB1, Prescott is a concern coming off a shaky season and now without offensive coordinator Kellen Moore in what should be a run-oriented, lower-volume pa sing attack under Mike McCarthy and Brian Schotteinheimer. Prescott's shaky camp doesn't suggest a big rebound. Just like with Watson, his value isn't good in relation to the QB field.2023 PPR RANKINGS: | | | | | | | | Tua Tagovailoa, Dolphins (Ranking: 94 | ADP: 87)Tagovailoa can put up the desired fantasy numbers if healthy, but everyone knows that's a big if with his concu sion i sues and overall history of lacking durability. That's really the only question, but it's a ma sive one to the point you would need to invest plenty more on strong QB2 depth if you target Tua.Aaron Rodgers, Jets (Ranking: 118 | ADP: 100)Rodgers is getting a ton of hype as a borderline QB1, but even the top 100 is a little too rich when some values are going earlier (Kirk Cousins, Geno Smith) and later (Jared Goff) than him. Rodgers' pa sing volume may not be what you expect playing with a team that runs well and has a potentially dominant scoring defense.Anthony Richardson, Colts (Ranking: 135 | ADP: 111)Richardson tops the rookie QB rankings because of his running "cheat code," but the Colts' pa sing offense isn't all that inspiring for someone with skills rawer than Bryce Jake Mccabe Kids Jersey Young and C.J. Stroud. Like Fields, there's the young Jalen Hurts comparison at work, but it's more reasonable to expect decent streaming numbers vs. feeling you stole a QB1 late.2023 STANDARD RANKINGS: | | | | | | | | Derrick Henry, Titans (Ranking: 13 | ADP: 17)Henry has defied the odds with his pounding workload and past wear and tear based on ma sive volume, but he's already dealt with a key injury i sue (foot in 2021) in the recent past and will turn 30 in January. The Titans' transitional line and offense as a whole don't inspire he will get the same kind of blocking and skill support even if he can hold up.Josh Jacobs, Raiders (Ranking: 20 | ADP: 22)Jacobs was an absolute steal last year coming out of the so-called "running back dead zone," as there obviously was too much concern about a non-existent committee under Josh McDaniels. That makes him a lot more expensive (around RB9) given the contract impa se and the overall anemic feeling of this offense post-Derek Carr. History also shows his workload from last year will lead to diminishing returns this year at that price.2023 FANTASY SLEEPERS | | | | | Kenneth Walker III, Seahawks (Ranking: 43 | ADP: 36)Walker would be going as a no-doubt RB1 had the Seahawks not used a second-round draft pick on Zach Charbonnet. Unfortunately, that is the reality, and Pete Carroll has tended to be fickle with the main man in the backfield, no matter the coordinator. Walker can still finish in the top 12 with the right mix of receptions and TDs, but Charbonnet means this is a slight reach for Walker's services.J.K. Dobbins, Ravens (Ranking: 50 | ADP: 52)Despite a lot of juice and promise as a runner and receiver, he hasn't been able to stay healthy enough to deliver. It's difficult to invest in a player with some good upside after the consistent early-career letdowns.James Conner, Cardinals (Ranking: 59 | ADP: 58)The Cardinals will be one of the worst teams in the league, and Conner is a TD-dependent power back Seth Griffith Kids Jersey bound to see limitations as a receiver. He also can break down and the team might overwork him to the point of more unavailability. Similar to Dobbins, you can do so much better with taking Miles Sanders, Cam Akers, Alexander Mattison, Dameon Pierce, or Rachaad White in the same tier range.2023 AUCTION VALUES (Standard & PPR): | | | | | | David Montgomery, Lions (Ranking: 70 | ADP: 75)Everyone's looking for a sequel to D'Andre Swift and Jamaal Williams with rookie first-rounder Jahmyr Gibbs and Montgomery replacing the young explosive and veteran power roles. Gibbs is a more complete back than Swift, and he will add red-zone pop to his fine receiving, but Montgomery doesn't profile as a Williams-like goal-line specialist. Don't expect the same kind of split with high-leverage touches with a big advantage going to the much more talented Gibbs.D'Andre Swift, Eagles (Ranking: 78 | ADP: 65)Speaking of Swift, he and fellow oft-injured option Rashaad Penny make up the new Philadelphia committee. Penny has looked healthy and impre sive with the early first-team reps, and he has the path to the chunk runs and scores Sanders had behind a mighty run-blocking line. Swift's road to reliable scoring is tougher given the Eagles aren't much of a check-down pa sing team.James Cook, Bills (Ranking: 79 | ADP: 78)Do you really want to try again to invest in a Bills runner not named Josh Allen? Cook and former Patriots power back Damien Harris change the names from a couple of years ago (Davin Singletary and Zack Mo s), but the split playing off athletic QB who often calls his own red-zone number and leads a high-volume pa sing game once again does not inspire.Jamaal Williams, Saints (Ranking: 107 | ADP: 95)Here we go again. Just like you don't chase Montgomery replacing Williams in Detroit, you don't Carter Hutton Women Jersey chase Williams duplicating last season's production on a new team. Alvin Kamara only received a three-game suspension, and rookie Kendre Miller is fighting for key touches, too. Before his 17 TDs last season in Detroit, Williams had 21 total in five seasons with the Packers and Lions. Williams should be right next to "touchdown regre sion candidate" in the fantasy glo sary in bold and highlighted.2023 POSITION TIERS & DRAFT STRATEGY: | | | | DK Metcalf, Seahawks (Ranking: 34 | ADP: 35)Metcalf is coming off a decent WR2 season with Geno Smith, but without his TDs and big-play Click here Click here Click here
